Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.4% vs Donato 45.4% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 63.5%
Defensive zone
Ek 61.1%
Neutral zone
Ek 51.2%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Ek
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Ek
Donato
Last 7: Ek 3-4 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Ek
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
2
1
Ek
Donato
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
1
2
Ek
Donato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (609)
43.5% (400)
+4.1%
Power Play
53.3% (152)
48.7% (119)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (106)
33.3% (6)
+1.6%
On power play, Ek has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Ek is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (613).
Ek shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Ek
Donato
Home
49.2% (331)
50.2% (279)
Away
45.7% (536)
38.2% (246)
By Period
Ek
Donato
P1
38.7%
44.6%
P2
52.9%
46.6%
P3
48.8%
42.0%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
48.0%▬
49.0%
47.1%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:57 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |