Joel Eriksson Ek vs Ryan O'Reilly
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 17-6 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 82.6%
Defensive zone
Ek 74.5%
Neutral zone
Ek 77.4%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Ek
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
17
(23 meetings)
6
17
Ek
O'Reilly
Last 10: Ek 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
10
Ek
O'Reilly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Ek
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
5
4
Ek
O'Reilly
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
55.7% (856)
-7.6%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
57.5% (233)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
50.0% (144)
-2.1%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Ek shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Ek
O'Reilly
Home
49.9% (693)
55.5% (616)
Away
48.3% (625)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Ek
O'Reilly
P1
47.4%
58.1%
P2
53.1%
54.9%
P3
46.3%
53.9%
OT
54.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:40 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | OT | 02:28 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | OT | 00:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |