Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Carrick 54.2% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 67.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 79.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 60.9%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Ek
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ek
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
55.5% (470)
-7.4%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
66.7% (3)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
50.0% (58)
-2.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Ek is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (417).
Ek shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Ek
Carrick
Home
49.9% (693)
58.6% (261)
Away
48.3% (625)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Ek
Carrick
P1
47.4%
55.9%
P2
53.1%
53.5%
P3
46.3%
55.6%
OT
54.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |