Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.8% vs Gagner 46.0% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 60.9%
Defensive zone
Ek 62.6%
Neutral zone
Ek 51.7%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Ek
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Ek
Gagner
Last 8: Ek 4-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
3
2
Ek
Gagner
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Ek
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,717)
45.4% (4,699)
+2.1%
Power Play
55.1% (1,500)
51.5% (928)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (1,176)
35.0% (226)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Ek has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Ek is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,256).
Ek shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Ek
Gagner
Home
48.6% (4,644)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
47.0% (4,749)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Ek
Gagner
P1
46.8%
44.6%
P2
49.5%
46.1%
P3
46.7%
47.3%
OT
53.8%
42.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 19:59 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |