Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.8% vs Steel 50.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 50.6%
Defensive zone
Ek 54.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 53.3%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Ek
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Ek
Steel
Last 10: Ek 5-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
3
4
Ek
Steel
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
4
3
Ek
Steel
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ek
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (6,530)
50.5% (2,871)
-3.1%
Power Play
55.4% (1,434)
62.6% (179)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (1,143)
37.8% (246)
+2.4%
On power play, Steel has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (5,954).
Ek shoots left. Steel is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,067).
Home / Away
Ek
Steel
Home
48.6% (4,516)
50.0% (1,551)
Away
47.0% (4,591)
50.3% (1,745)
By Period
Ek
Steel
P1
46.7%
51.9%
P2
49.5%
49.5%
P3
46.7%
49.5%
OT
52.8%
41.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
48.0%▬
49.0%
47.8%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:27 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 03:38 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:45 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 05:50 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |