Joel Eriksson Ek vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ek wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 66.3%
Defensive zone
Ek 79.5%
Neutral zone
Ek 68.7%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Ek
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Ek
Stamkos
Last 7: Ek 2-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Ek
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
2
1
Ek
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Ek
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
57.1% (368)
-9.0%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
55.2% (96)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
50.0% (10)
-2.1%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Ek is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (417).
Ek shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Ek
Stamkos
Home
49.9% (693)
53.9% (230)
Away
48.3% (625)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Ek
Stamkos
P1
47.4%
56.7%
P2
53.1%
54.1%
P3
46.3%
59.2%
OT
54.9%
62.5%
Final 5 min
44.6%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2025 | OT | 00:39 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |