Joel Eriksson Ek vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 30 meetings). Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.8% vs Hertl 54.3% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 61-39 in 100 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 91.1%
Defensive zone
Ek 78.3%
Neutral zone
Ek 83.5%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Ek
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
61
(100 meetings)
39
61
Ek
Hertl
Last 10: Ek 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
8
22
Ek
Hertl
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
13
17
Ek
Hertl
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
18
22
Ek
Hertl
40 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,717)
53.9% (8,303)
-6.4%
Power Play
55.1% (1,500)
59.2% (1,995)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (1,176)
46.3% (806)
-6.0%
On even strength, Hertl has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,137).
Ek shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Ek
Hertl
Home
48.6% (4,644)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
47.0% (4,749)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Ek
Hertl
P1
46.8%
53.6%
P2
49.5%
54.2%
P3
46.7%
55.3%
OT
53.8%
46.9%
Final 5 min
46.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 14:04 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 16, 2025 | OT | 04:18 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 16, 2025 | OT | 03:59 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 17:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |