Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Nosek 48.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 64.9%
Defensive zone
Ek 56.3%
Neutral zone
Ek 55.0%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Ek
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Ek
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
52.0% (102)
-3.9%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
100.0% (2)
-46.7%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
29.0% (31)
+18.9%
On power play, Nosek has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Ek shoots left. Nosek is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Ek
Nosek
Home
49.9% (693)
52.0% (50)
Away
48.3% (625)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Ek
Nosek
P1
47.4%
45.0%
P2
53.1%
42.0%
P3
46.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
44.6%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |