Joel Eriksson Ek vs Trevor Zegras
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.2% vs Zegras 37.0% (+16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 63.4%
Defensive zone
Ek 92.6%
Neutral zone
Ek 89.1%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 84.5%
84.5%
15.5%
Ek
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Ek
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Ek
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
2
0
Ek
Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
1
0
Ek
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (858)
33.0% (264)
+15.1%
Power Play
53.3% (272)
32.1% (56)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (188)
50.0% (2)
-2.1%
On power play, Ek has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Ek shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Ek
Zegras
Home
49.9% (693)
35.3% (173)
Away
48.3% (625)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Ek
Zegras
P1
47.4%
33.0%
P2
53.1%
35.7%
P3
46.3%
29.7%
OT
54.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.6%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |