Joel Farabee vs Jonathan Marchessault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Farabee holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 47.7% vs Marchessault 46.7% (+5.3%)
Offensive zone
Farabee 54.5%
Defensive zone
Marchessault 50.7%
Neutral zone
Farabee 51.3%
Result
Joel Farabee favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Farabee
Marchessault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (37)
35.3% (34)
+7.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
66.7% (3)
-16.7%
On power play, Marchessault has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Farabee is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (18).
Farabee shoots left. Marchessault is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Home / Away
Farabee
Marchessault
Home
38.1% (21)
40.0% (25)
Away
46.7% (30)
33.3% (12)
By Period
Farabee
Marchessault
P1
56.5%
50.0%
P2
43.8%
30.8%
P3
16.7%
22.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
12.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
42.0%▲
38.5%
43.1%
Marchessault
36.0%▲
32.5%
37.8%