Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +23.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Farabee wins 29.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 37.4% vs Zibanejad 52.2% (-23.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Farabee 82.7%
Defensive zone
Farabee 65.5%
Neutral zone
Farabee 79.8%
Result
Joel Farabee favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Farabee
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Farabee
Zibanejad
Last 6: Farabee 1-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Farabee
1
0
Farabee
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Farabee
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
4
Farabee
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
27.5% (120)
54.0% (955)
-26.5%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
55.6% (243)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
35.0% (140)
-22.5%
On even strength, Zibanejad has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Farabee is 29.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Farabee shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Home / Away
Farabee
Zibanejad
Home
28.1% (57)
55.2% (656)
Away
29.1% (86)
49.6% (682)
By Period
Farabee
Zibanejad
P1
34.0%
56.3%
P2
23.4%
50.0%
P3
28.6%
51.2%
OT
0.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
30.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
42.0%▲
38.5%
28.7%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2022 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2022 | OT | 03:24 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:58 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 11:23 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:44 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Joel Farabee |