Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kellman on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kellman wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kellman 48.1% vs Hischier 52.5% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 79.5%
Defensive zone
Hischier 57.2%
Neutral zone
Hischier 61.5%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Kellman
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kellman
Hischier
Last 7: Kellman 4-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kellman
Hischier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kellman
3
2
Kellman
Hischier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kellman
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (275)
51.3% (8,159)
-4.8%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
60.0% (1,678)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
49.1% (862)
+0.9%
On power play, Kellman has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Kellman is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Kellman shoots left. Hischier is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,847).
Home / Away
Kellman
Hischier
Home
42.5% (146)
52.8% (5,223)
Away
52.4% (147)
52.2% (5,476)
By Period
Kellman
Hischier
P1
48.0%
52.7%
P2
53.3%
52.2%
P3
41.9%
52.7%
Final 5 min
53.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kellman
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Hischier
56.0%▲
54.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 3 | 04:56 | Neutral | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |