Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Stajan 49.4% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Ward 75.0%
Defensive zone
Stajan 50.9%
Neutral zone
Ward 58.1%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Ward
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Ward
Stajan
Last 10: Ward 4-6 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
3
Ward
Stajan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
5
Ward
Stajan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ward
Stajan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
50.2% (4,944)
+1.1%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
43.2% (176)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
46.1% (864)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Ward
Stajan
Home
50.3% (870)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
46.5% (921)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Ward
Stajan
P1
47.6%
50.3%
P2
47.5%
48.5%
P3
50.3%
49.4%
OT
30.8%
53.3%
Final 5 min
45.4%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 1 | 15:04 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 2 | 19:20 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |