Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Stastny 55.1% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Ward 76.7%
Defensive zone
Ward 74.3%
Neutral zone
Ward 70.3%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Ward
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Ward
Stastny
Last 10: Ward 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
9
Ward
Stastny
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
3
1
Ward
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Ward
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
54.6% (10,616)
-3.3%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
59.1% (1,994)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
52.9% (1,119)
-17.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Ward
Stastny
Home
50.3% (870)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
46.5% (921)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Ward
Stastny
P1
47.6%
56.3%
P2
47.5%
55.4%
P3
50.3%
53.5%
OT
30.8%
62.9%
Final 5 min
45.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2016 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 16:14 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 1, 2015 | 3 | 06:13 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Joel Ward |