Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Fiddler 52.1% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Fiddler leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Ward 76.0%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 51.9%
Neutral zone
Ward 60.1%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Ward
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Ward
Fiddler
Last 10: Ward 5-5 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
5
3
Ward
Fiddler
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
3
Ward
Fiddler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
53.7% (4,899)
-2.4%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
50.0% (154)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
46.9% (1,479)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Fiddler has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Fiddler is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,195).
Home / Away
Ward
Fiddler
Home
50.3% (870)
53.1% (3,191)
Away
46.5% (921)
51.2% (3,366)
By Period
Ward
Fiddler
P1
47.6%
52.1%
P2
47.5%
52.6%
P3
50.3%
52.0%
OT
30.8%
46.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |