Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.0%). Look for Franzen on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Franzen 49.0% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Franzen 62.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 72.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 58.0%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Franzen
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Franzen
Bjugstad
Last 9: Franzen 7-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Franzen
2
0
Franzen
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Franzen
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Franzen
4
1
Franzen
Bjugstad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Franzen
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (464)
48.6% (6,646)
-0.1%
Power Play
51.0% (149)
55.2% (829)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
44.3% (614)
-1.4%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Franzen is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Franzen shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Home / Away
Franzen
Bjugstad
Home
51.1% (368)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
45.6% (261)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Franzen
Bjugstad
P1
51.9%
48.9%
P2
50.0%
49.1%
P3
43.5%
48.5%
OT
52.9%
61.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2014 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Johan Franzen |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 12:39 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |