Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Franzen 49.0% vs Stastny 55.1% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Franzen 78.0%
Defensive zone
Franzen 71.5%
Neutral zone
Franzen 75.2%
Result
Johan Franzen favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Franzen
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Franzen
Stastny
Last 8: Franzen 2-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Franzen
2
1
Franzen
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Franzen
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Franzen
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Franzen
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (464)
54.6% (10,616)
-6.1%
Power Play
51.0% (149)
59.1% (1,994)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
52.9% (1,119)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Franzen is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Franzen shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Franzen
Stastny
Home
51.1% (368)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
45.6% (261)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Franzen
Stastny
P1
51.9%
56.3%
P2
50.0%
55.4%
P3
43.5%
53.5%
OT
52.9%
62.9%
Final 5 min
52.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 1 | 05:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |