Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Peca on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 50.6% vs Peca 48.3% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peca 86.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 88.9%
Neutral zone
Larsson 51.8%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Larsson
Peca
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Larsson
Peca
Last 7: Larsson 3-4 Peca
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Peca
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Peca
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peca
0
3
Larsson
Peca
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (773)
49.0% (149)
+4.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (218)
36.8% (19)
+3.1%
On even strength, Larsson has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. Larsson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Larsson shoots left. Peca is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Larsson
Peca
Home
51.2% (490)
48.2% (85)
Away
50.1% (503)
46.4% (84)
By Period
Larsson
Peca
P1
50.6%
55.4%
P2
53.1%
39.7%
P3
48.3%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.7%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 14:40 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |