Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 50.2%). Look for Peca on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Peca 50.2% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Peca leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Peca 65.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 72.2%
Neutral zone
Larsson 50.2%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Larsson
Peca
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Larsson
Peca
Last 10: Larsson 4-6 Peca
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Peca
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larsson
Peca
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peca
2
3
Larsson
Peca
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
51.5% (423)
-1.0%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
12.5% (8)
+35.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
44.2% (43)
-0.4%
On power play, Larsson has a +35.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Peca is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Larsson
Peca
Home
51.2% (2,493)
46.1% (193)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
53.0% (281)
By Period
Larsson
Peca
P1
51.6%
56.6%
P2
49.7%
44.4%
P3
47.2%
50.3%
OT
52.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 14:40 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 03:41 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |