Johan Larsson vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs McCarron 52.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 53.6%
Defensive zone
Larsson 52.1%
Neutral zone
Larsson 51.6%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Larsson
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Larsson
McCarron
Last 8: Larsson 4-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Larsson
McCarron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
4
2
Larsson
McCarron
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
53.3% (2,926)
-2.8%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
45.3% (86)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
50.1% (469)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
Home / Away
Larsson
McCarron
Home
51.2% (2,493)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Larsson
McCarron
P1
51.6%
53.8%
P2
49.7%
52.3%
P3
47.2%
51.9%
OT
52.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |