Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.0%). Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 37-26 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 75.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 69.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Larsson
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
37
(63 meetings)
26
37
Larsson
Bjugstad
Last 10: Larsson 5-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
8
19
Larsson
Bjugstad
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
11
6
Larsson
Bjugstad
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
7
12
Larsson
Bjugstad
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
48.6% (6,646)
+1.9%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
55.2% (829)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
44.3% (614)
-0.5%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Home / Away
Larsson
Bjugstad
Home
51.2% (2,493)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Larsson
Bjugstad
P1
51.6%
48.9%
P2
49.7%
49.1%
P3
47.2%
48.5%
OT
52.3%
61.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 2 | 03:07 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 02:26 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 14:27 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |