Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 56.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 96.5%
Neutral zone
Larsson 89.4%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Larsson
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
0
(9 meetings)
9
0
Larsson
Schmaltz
Last 9: Larsson 9-0 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
6
0
Larsson
Schmaltz
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
41.3% (3,431)
+9.2%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
47.3% (655)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
47.4% (135)
-3.6%
On even strength, Larsson has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Home / Away
Larsson
Schmaltz
Home
51.2% (2,493)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
Larsson
Schmaltz
P1
51.6%
41.3%
P2
49.7%
42.8%
P3
47.2%
43.1%
OT
52.3%
42.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2019 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 28, 2019 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 1 | 18:50 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 8, 2017 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |