Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.3%). Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Suzuki 49.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 83.7%
Defensive zone
Larsson 75.9%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 57.1%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Larsson
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Larsson
Suzuki
Last 9: Larsson 7-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
0
Larsson
Suzuki
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Larsson
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
49.4% (6,368)
+1.1%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
50.8% (1,355)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
44.0% (466)
-0.2%
On power play, Suzuki has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
Larsson
Suzuki
Home
51.2% (2,493)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Larsson
Suzuki
P1
51.6%
48.9%
P2
49.7%
49.1%
P3
47.2%
50.3%
OT
52.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:36 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |