Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Acciari 51.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Acciari 60.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 74.9%
Neutral zone
Acciari 67.5%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Larsson
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Larsson
Acciari
Last 5: Larsson 4-1 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larsson
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Acciari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
53.1% (3,185)
-2.6%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
50.7% (71)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
46.8% (999)
-3.0%
On power play, Acciari has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Acciari is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,113).
Home / Away
Larsson
Acciari
Home
51.2% (2,493)
52.4% (2,033)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
50.8% (2,222)
By Period
Larsson
Acciari
P1
51.6%
52.1%
P2
49.7%
51.7%
P3
47.2%
51.0%
OT
52.3%
51.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Acciari
54.0%▲
51.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2019 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 11, 2019 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |