Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Strome 44.6% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 59.8%
Defensive zone
Larsson 89.4%
Neutral zone
Larsson 77.6%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Larsson
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
11
(27 meetings)
16
11
Larsson
Strome
Last 10: Larsson 6-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
3
2
Larsson
Strome
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
8
5
Larsson
Strome
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
4
Larsson
Strome
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
44.2% (6,887)
+6.3%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
49.2% (855)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
41.5% (410)
+2.3%
On even strength, Larsson has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Larsson
Strome
Home
51.2% (2,493)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Larsson
Strome
P1
51.6%
43.9%
P2
49.7%
45.4%
P3
47.2%
44.4%
OT
52.3%
46.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 18:02 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 1 | 10:26 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 07:25 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 07:50 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 19:09 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 14:16 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |