Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Lafferty 47.5% (+2.1%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 51.9%
Defensive zone
Larsson 60.4%
Neutral zone
Larsson 50.3%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Larsson
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
47.9% (1,417)
+2.6%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
45.7% (46)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
43.5% (184)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Lafferty is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Larsson
Lafferty
Home
51.2% (2,493)
47.3% (833)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
47.4% (814)
By Period
Larsson
Lafferty
P1
51.6%
49.4%
P2
49.7%
43.1%
P3
47.2%
49.6%
OT
52.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%