Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 50.3%). Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuraly 57.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 66.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 61.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Larsson
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Larsson
Kuraly
Last 10: Larsson 7-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
6
4
Larsson
Kuraly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
51.5% (5,067)
-1.0%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
56.0% (100)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
44.0% (1,063)
-0.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Larsson shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,037).
Home / Away
Larsson
Kuraly
Home
51.2% (2,493)
51.7% (3,152)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
48.7% (3,079)
By Period
Larsson
Kuraly
P1
51.6%
50.8%
P2
49.7%
50.0%
P3
47.2%
49.9%
OT
52.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |