Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 63.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 81.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 72.7%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Larsson
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Larsson
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
52.3% (982)
-5.6%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
41.9% (43)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
39.2% (245)
-0.2%
On power play, Larsson has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Larsson is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Larsson shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Larsson
Kuraly
Home
52.1% (167)
50.3% (680)
Away
42.4% (255)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Larsson
Kuraly
P1
50.0%
49.5%
P2
46.7%
49.6%
P3
42.6%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |