Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Larsson wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 46.9% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 71.2%
Defensive zone
Larsson 68.7%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 53.2%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Larsson
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Larsson
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
0
Larsson
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Larsson
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (345)
49.3% (789)
-2.6%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
56.9% (181)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
54.1% (98)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Larsson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Larsson shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Larsson
Stamkos
Home
52.1% (167)
52.0% (512)
Away
42.4% (255)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Larsson
Stamkos
P1
50.0%
42.1%
P2
46.7%
56.4%
P3
42.6%
53.7%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.2%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |