Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 49.5% vs Oshie 46.4% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Oshie leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Oshie 91.7%
Defensive zone
Larsson 88.0%
Neutral zone
Oshie 52.0%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Larsson
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Larsson
Oshie
Last 10: Larsson 4-6 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
5
Larsson
Oshie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
0
Larsson
Oshie
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Larsson
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (4,382)
45.2% (764)
+5.3%
Power Play
47.7% (153)
47.7% (1,221)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (714)
40.2% (164)
+3.6%
On even strength, Larsson has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Larsson shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Larsson
Oshie
Home
51.2% (2,493)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
48.0% (2,756)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Larsson
Oshie
P1
51.6%
47.3%
P2
49.7%
45.2%
P3
47.2%
46.7%
OT
52.3%
40.8%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |