Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Beecher on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 51.7% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 79.2%
Defensive zone
Beecher 60.4%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 57.2%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Beecher
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Beecher
Kastelic
Last 5: Beecher 3-2 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beecher
3
2
Beecher
Kastelic
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (993)
57.0% (1,635)
-4.1%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
80.0% (25)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (221)
53.8% (279)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Beecher is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (516).
Beecher shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,445).
Home / Away
Beecher
Kastelic
Home
51.4% (562)
58.7% (904)
Away
52.2% (663)
55.2% (1,035)
By Period
Beecher
Kastelic
P1
53.8%
58.6%
P2
48.0%
56.5%
P3
53.8%
55.6%
OT
33.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.6%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
40.0%▼
44.0%
51.8%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | John Beecher |