Scouting Report
John Beecher holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Beecher wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 51.7% vs Gourde 48.2% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 81.0%
Defensive zone
Beecher 89.3%
Neutral zone
Beecher 58.0%
Result
John Beecher favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Beecher
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Beecher
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Beecher
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
1
0
Beecher
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beecher
1
0
Beecher
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (993)
48.4% (4,987)
+4.5%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
57.4% (376)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (221)
40.0% (555)
+6.2%
On power play, Beecher has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Beecher is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (709).
Beecher shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,967).
Home / Away
Beecher
Gourde
Home
51.4% (562)
49.3% (2,949)
Away
52.2% (663)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Beecher
Gourde
P1
53.8%
49.8%
P2
48.0%
47.5%
P3
53.8%
47.5%
OT
33.3%
37.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
40.0%▼
44.0%
51.8%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 18:30 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | John Beecher |