Scouting Report
Samuel Helenius holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Helenius on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayden wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Helenius shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayden 43.3% vs Helenius 46.6% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayden 76.2%
Defensive zone
Hayden 54.5%
Neutral zone
Hayden 59.7%
Result
John Hayden favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Hayden
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayden
Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helenius
1
4
Hayden
Helenius
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayden
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (153)
46.3% (488)
-8.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
0.0% (2)
+57.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
20.0% (5)
+30.0%
On power play, Hayden has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Hayden is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (127).
Hayden shoots right. Helenius is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Hayden
Helenius
Home
33.8% (77)
44.5% (272)
Away
44.1% (93)
47.5% (223)
By Period
Hayden
Helenius
P1
42.2%
50.6%
P2
36.7%
40.1%
P3
39.1%
46.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayden
46.0%▲
39.4%
39.4%
Helenius
46.0%▬
46.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 01:52 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |