Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Hayden wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayden 43.3% vs Ostapchuk 48.7% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayden 70.4%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 57.4%
Neutral zone
Hayden 53.6%
Result
John Hayden favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Hayden
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hayden
Ostapchuk
Last 5: Hayden 2-3 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Hayden
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayden
Ostapchuk
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayden
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (153)
49.1% (632)
-11.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
28.6% (7)
+28.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
45.5% (66)
+4.5%
On power play, Hayden has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Hayden is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (127).
Hayden shoots right. Ostapchuk is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Hayden
Ostapchuk
Home
33.8% (77)
48.6% (329)
Away
44.1% (93)
48.4% (376)
By Period
Hayden
Ostapchuk
P1
42.2%
48.5%
P2
36.7%
46.4%
P3
39.1%
50.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayden
46.0%▲
39.4%
39.4%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:36 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | John Hayden |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | John Hayden |