Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.1%). Look for Madden on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.6% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Madden leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 84.3%
Defensive zone
Madden 58.6%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 63.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Madden
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Madden
Stamkos
Last 10: Madden 8-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Madden
1
0
Madden
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
4
0
Madden
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
3
2
Madden
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,083)
50.5% (9,825)
+0.7%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
55.2% (1,729)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (164)
49.6% (827)
-2.0%
On power play, Stamkos has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Madden is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Madden shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Madden
Stamkos
Home
52.7% (678)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
48.5% (623)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Madden
Stamkos
P1
51.5%
49.2%
P2
52.5%
52.7%
P3
47.6%
50.9%
OT
62.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 14, 2010 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Nov 14, 2010 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 14, 2010 | 1 | 10:52 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Nov 14, 2010 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | John Madden |