Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Goc 52.3% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 52.5%
Defensive zone
Goc 55.2%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 51.2%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Mitchell
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Mitchell
Goc
Last 8: Mitchell 6-2 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
0
Mitchell
Goc
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
1
Mitchell
Goc
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
3
1
Mitchell
Goc
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
53.0% (3,301)
-1.2%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
58.0% (314)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
47.4% (728)
-3.3%
On power play, Goc has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Mitchell shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Goc
Home
54.4% (1,806)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Mitchell
Goc
P1
52.0%
51.9%
P2
49.9%
53.1%
P3
50.9%
52.4%
OT
69.2%
44.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 08:52 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |