Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Stajan 49.4% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Stajan 52.3%
Defensive zone
Stajan 67.6%
Neutral zone
Stajan 60.7%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Mitchell
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Mitchell
Stajan
Last 10: Mitchell 6-4 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
4
Mitchell
Stajan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
4
5
Mitchell
Stajan
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mitchell
Stajan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
50.2% (4,944)
+1.6%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
43.2% (176)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
46.1% (864)
-2.0%
On power play, Mitchell has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Mitchell shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Stajan
Home
54.4% (1,806)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Mitchell
Stajan
P1
52.0%
50.3%
P2
49.9%
48.5%
P3
50.9%
49.4%
OT
69.2%
53.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 13:53 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 2 | 13:20 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 03:58 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 18:48 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |