John Mitchell vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 51.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Mitchell
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Mitchell
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Mitchell 4-6 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
5
Mitchell
Nugent-Hopkins
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
5
2
Mitchell
Nugent-Hopkins
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
7
Mitchell
Nugent-Hopkins
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (2,965)
44.9% (8,714)
+6.9%
Power Play
54.1% (196)
50.3% (829)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (401)
37.8% (875)
+6.3%
On even strength, Mitchell has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Mitchell shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,805).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.4% (1,806)
46.4% (5,318)
Away
47.6% (1,756)
42.9% (5,112)
By Period
Mitchell
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
52.0%
45.1%
P2
49.9%
43.8%
P3
50.9%
45.2%
OT
69.2%
43.5%
Final 5 min
51.4%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 15:57 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 06:25 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 10:22 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 04:08 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | John Mitchell |