Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Newhook wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.3% vs Tavares 54.4% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Newhook 92.8%
Defensive zone
Newhook 81.0%
Neutral zone
Newhook 90.7%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Newhook
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
14
(20 meetings)
6
14
Newhook
Tavares
Last 10: Newhook 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
5
Newhook
Tavares
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
6
Newhook
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Newhook
Tavares
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (1,947)
54.0% (16,169)
-12.3%
Power Play
43.6% (211)
56.4% (4,298)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
50.5% (624)
-6.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Newhook is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,330).
Newhook shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,550).
Home / Away
Newhook
Tavares
Home
41.7% (1,076)
56.1% (10,525)
Away
42.1% (1,100)
52.7% (10,595)
By Period
Newhook
Tavares
P1
40.1%
55.0%
P2
42.2%
54.1%
P3
43.1%
54.0%
OT
80.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
43.5%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
41.9%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 02:06 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:54 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:38 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 15:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |