Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Kindel wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 44.9% vs Tavares 56.7% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 69.8%
Defensive zone
Kindel 71.4%
Neutral zone
Kindel 71.1%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Kindel
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kindel
Tavares
Last 5: Kindel 1-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kindel
1
0
Kindel
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Kindel
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Kindel
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (518)
57.7% (956)
-14.6%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
55.7% (244)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
52.2% (23)
-2.2%
On even strength, Tavares has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kindel is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Kindel shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Kindel
Tavares
Home
45.0% (291)
57.4% (636)
Away
43.0% (284)
57.1% (587)
By Period
Kindel
Tavares
P1
40.6%
57.1%
P2
46.1%
57.0%
P3
41.5%
57.6%
OT
92.9%
57.7%
Final 5 min
38.3%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
38.0%▬
37.0%
44.0%
Tavares
44.0%▼
52.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:31 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | John Tavares |