Casey Mittelstadt vs John Tavares
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Tavares 54.4% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 18-5 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 95.6%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 84.6%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 91.9%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 90.9%
90.9%
9.1%
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
18
(23 meetings)
5
18
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Last 10: Mittelstadt 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
8
Mittelstadt
Tavares
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
6
Mittelstadt
Tavares
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
4
Mittelstadt
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,924)
54.0% (16,169)
-9.0%
Power Play
49.7% (666)
56.4% (4,298)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
50.5% (624)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,550).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Tavares
Home
46.7% (2,317)
56.1% (10,525)
Away
44.3% (2,369)
52.7% (10,595)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Tavares
P1
46.7%
55.0%
P2
46.1%
54.1%
P3
44.0%
54.0%
OT
36.6%
55.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
45.5%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 08:06 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 10:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 06:24 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |