Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Svechkov wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 43.2% vs Tavares 56.8% (-15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 71.1%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 73.9%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 74.1%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Svechkov
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Svechkov
Tavares
Last 5: Svechkov 1-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Svechkov
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Svechkov
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Svechkov
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (472)
57.7% (975)
-16.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
56.0% (250)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
52.2% (23)
-2.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Svechkov is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Svechkov shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Tavares
Home
39.7% (247)
57.4% (636)
Away
44.0% (234)
57.2% (612)
By Period
Svechkov
Tavares
P1
36.1%
57.5%
P2
44.5%
56.9%
P3
44.1%
57.5%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
42.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
41.8%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 16:06 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 16:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |