Frederick Gaudreau vs John Tavares
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Tavares 56.8% (-14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 97.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 51.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 91.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 76.6%
23.4%
76.6%
Gaudreau
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gaudreau
Tavares
Last 5: Gaudreau 4-1 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
57.7% (975)
-12.8%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
56.0% (250)
-24.2%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
52.2% (23)
-14.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Tavares
Home
42.6% (277)
57.4% (636)
Away
43.1% (288)
57.2% (612)
By Period
Gaudreau
Tavares
P1
44.1%
57.5%
P2
44.7%
56.9%
P3
39.5%
57.5%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |