Frederick Gaudreau vs John Tavares
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 44.1% vs Tavares 57.8% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 96.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 52.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 92.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 78.4%
21.6%
78.4%
Gaudreau
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gaudreau
Tavares
Last 5: Gaudreau 4-1 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (315)
59.0% (691)
-13.0%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
57.2% (173)
-23.9%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (85)
63.6% (11)
-31.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Gaudreau shoots right. Tavares is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Tavares
Home
42.9% (217)
58.0% (500)
Away
42.6% (195)
59.7% (375)
By Period
Gaudreau
Tavares
P1
44.2%
59.5%
P2
44.4%
58.5%
P3
39.4%
58.2%
Final 5 min
49.2%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
42.7%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |