Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Tavares 56.8% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 56.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 84.3%
Neutral zone
Compher 61.9%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Compher
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Compher
Tavares
Last 10: Compher 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Compher
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Compher
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Compher
Tavares
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
57.7% (975)
-4.6%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
56.0% (250)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
52.2% (23)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Compher shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Compher
Tavares
Home
51.3% (452)
57.4% (636)
Away
51.5% (458)
57.2% (612)
By Period
Compher
Tavares
P1
54.9%
57.5%
P2
49.0%
56.9%
P3
50.6%
57.5%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:32 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | John Tavares |