John Tavares vs Jonathan Marchessault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +19.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Marchessault 46.7% (+19.5%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 59.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 59.8%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 52.5%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Tavares
Marchessault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
35.3% (34)
+22.4%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
66.7% (3)
-10.7%
On even strength, Tavares has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Tavares shoots left. Marchessault is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Home / Away
Tavares
Marchessault
Home
57.4% (636)
40.0% (25)
Away
57.2% (612)
33.3% (12)
By Period
Tavares
Marchessault
P1
57.5%
50.0%
P2
56.9%
30.8%
P3
57.5%
22.2%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
12.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Marchessault
36.0%▲
32.5%
37.8%