Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Glendening 51.9% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.1%
Defensive zone
Glendening 74.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 68.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Tavares
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Tavares
Glendening
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
1
Tavares
Glendening
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
3
Tavares
Glendening
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
53.6% (420)
+4.1%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
100.0% (4)
-44.0%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
47.3% (148)
+4.9%
On power play, Glendening has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Tavares shoots left. Glendening is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
Tavares
Glendening
Home
57.4% (636)
48.0% (256)
Away
57.2% (612)
55.7% (316)
By Period
Tavares
Glendening
P1
57.5%
50.9%
P2
56.9%
51.7%
P3
57.5%
53.3%
OT
57.1%
83.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Glendening
56.0%▲
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |