Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kasper shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Kasper 46.9% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 96.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 79.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 90.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 91.8%
91.8%
8.2%
Tavares
Kasper
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
5
(19 meetings)
14
5
Tavares
Kasper
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Kasper
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
3
Tavares
Kasper
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
2
Tavares
Kasper
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
0
Tavares
Kasper
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Kasper
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,169)
47.2% (960)
+6.8%
Power Play
56.4% (4,298)
46.9% (32)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (624)
30.6% (36)
+19.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kasper shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,550).
Tavares shoots left. Kasper is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Home / Away
Tavares
Kasper
Home
56.1% (10,525)
49.4% (474)
Away
52.7% (10,595)
44.2% (554)
By Period
Tavares
Kasper
P1
55.0%
48.0%
P2
54.1%
51.0%
P3
54.0%
40.2%
OT
55.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.7%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:14 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 12:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |