Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Kadri 46.9% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 54.6%
Defensive zone
Kadri 50.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 56.5%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Tavares
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Tavares
Kadri
Last 6: Tavares 3-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Tavares
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
46.5% (866)
+11.2%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
48.8% (86)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
38.5% (13)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Tavares shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Tavares
Kadri
Home
57.4% (636)
45.8% (513)
Away
57.2% (612)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Tavares
Kadri
P1
57.5%
52.4%
P2
56.9%
48.5%
P3
57.5%
39.7%
OT
57.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 13:15 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |