Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+7.9%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 73.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 74.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 56.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Tavares
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
49.7% (292)
+8.0%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
50.0% (6)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
47.2% (36)
+5.0%
On even strength, Tavares has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Tavares shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bjugstad
Home
57.4% (636)
48.7% (193)
Away
57.2% (612)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Tavares
Bjugstad
P1
57.5%
41.5%
P2
56.9%
57.3%
P3
57.5%
50.0%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%