Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Foligno 49.9% (+7.4%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 68.9%
Defensive zone
Foligno 73.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 52.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Tavares
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
49.5% (291)
+8.2%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
55.8% (43)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
47.2% (53)
+5.0%
On even strength, Tavares has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Tavares shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Tavares
Foligno
Home
57.4% (636)
48.9% (178)
Away
57.2% (612)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Tavares
Foligno
P1
57.5%
43.0%
P2
56.9%
55.9%
P3
57.5%
50.0%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%